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Earth, Moon, Sun motions
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| A bit OT but there are probably tides on at least one other moon Concerning tide prediction on the earth. There is an observable cycle in the tides of 723 days or 7 days less than 2 years. The 2 principal harmonic sinusoidal components constituting tidal movements are 12 hour (half day, S2) and 12.42060122 half lunar day cycle (M2). That 0.42060122 (about 25 minutes) remained, principally gives the tidal advance of each tide. A near common multiple of 12 and 12.42060122 is 723 solar days (1397.033822 M2 periods). Which is 0.42009 hours more than 1397 M2 cycles so also about 25 minutes outside of complete coincidence. For predicted tides (extremely close to actuality, accounting for weather effects) for one port over 12 years, for the same minimum low tide over this 723 day cycle are within +/-7 minutes of 06:03, each time, GMT 1985 , 17 Sept, at 05:59 1987 ,10 Sept, 05:59 1989 , 05 Sept, 05:58 1991, 27 Aug 05:24 and joint minimum low on 28 Aug at 05:56 (also an evening low on 27 Aug ) 1993 , 20 Aug, 05:59 1995 , 13 Aug , 06:04 1997 , 06 Aug , 06:09 But there are leap days in 1988,1992 and 1996 and there is the 1991 anomaly Could anyone explain the last two observations. I suspect that the real year is about 365.25 days, is something to do with it. |
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| I've now tracked over 32 years and no obvious long term drift. Looks like 52 years would bring the 7 day adrift from bi-annual to process through 365 days Only taking the tides that fall approximately 06:00 , not necessarily coincident with minimum low, but close. 1971 , 04 Nov, 05:54 1973 , 29 oct, 05:51 1975 , 23 oct, 05:46 1977 , 15 oct, 05:48 1979 , 08 oct, 05:54 1981 , 01 oct, 06:02 1983 , 25 sep, 05:59 1985 , 17 Sep, 05:59 1987 , 10 Sep, 05:59 1989 , 03 Sep, 05:58 1991 , 28 Aug 05:56 1993 , 20 Aug, 05:59 1995 , 13 Aug, 06:04 1997 , 06 Aug, 06:09 1999 , 31 jul, 06:09 2001 , 23 jul, 06:10 2003 , 16 jul, 06:09 |
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| 104 year cycle , not 52 year As i could only google 1, presumably relevant tides reference to "723 day" , locked away , some more data, not complete archive, after that its HMHO/Proudman or somewhere so +/- 14 minutes of 06:00 over 74 years 1933, 14 mar , 05:47 1949 , 17 jan, 06:11 1951 , 10 jan, 06:13 1953 , 03 jan, 06:11 1955 , 31 dec, 05:50 1957 , 24 dec, 06:10 1959 , 18 dec, 05:55 1965 , 26 nov, 06:00 1969 , 11 nov, 05:56 1971 , 04 Nov, 05:54 1973 , 29 oct, 05:51 1975 , 23 oct, 05:46 1977 , 15 oct, 05:48 1979 , 08 oct, 05:54 1981 , 01 oct, 06:02 1983 , 25 sep, 05:59 1985 , 17 Sep, 05:59 1987 , 10 Sep, 05:59 1989 , 03 Sep, 05:58 1991 , 28 Aug 05:56 1993 , 20 Aug, 05:59 1995 , 13 Aug, 06:04 1997 , 06 Aug, 06:09 1999 , 31 jul, 06:09 2001 , 23 jul, 06:10 2003 , 16 jul, 06:09 2005 , 09 jul, 05:53 2007 , 03 jul, 06:05 |
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